Why is the Battle of Kordofan decisive in the Sudanese war?
The Sudanese scene is still complicated in light of the failure of any of the parties to the conflict in its advantage in its favor and imposing its control over the third largest African country.
The attention is currently heading to the Sudanese West and the Darfur region, which the rapid support forces are controlled by all of its northern capital, El -Fasher, to be the last major city in the region under the control of the regular army forces.
Since April 2024, the Rapid Support Forces have imposed a suffocating siege on El -Fasher, which has failed to break the regular forces so far.
To the east of El Fasher and the West of Khartoum, the Kordofan region, which is currently witnessing a fierce fight between the army and the rapid support that intensifies its attacks in the region.
And if the regular army has been able in several areas, including Khartoum and the White Nile, to expel the Rapid Support Forces, the latter now controls parts in northern and western Kordofan, and on pockets in southern Kordofan and the Blue Nile, as well as four of the five states of the Darfur region.
The most finished reading
Last June, the Rapid Support Forces announced the control of the strategic third area in the far northwest of the country, which constitutes a pivotal meeting point between Sudan, Libya and Egypt- in an attempt to open a secure supply path to tighten full control of the Kordofan region, as well as strengthening control of the Darfur region.
Observers believe that if these forces were controlled by Kordofan, this would have ended in a new division of Sudan- between rapid support in the West and the regular army in the east.
"A decisive struggle scene and a symbol of power and political influence"
In an interview with BBC, the Sudanese military and strategic expert, Brigadier Jamal Al -Shahid, saw that the Kordofan region is "a decisive battlefield in this war raging for more than two years."
On the strategic importance of Kordofan, the martyr said, "The region, by virtue of its geographical location, constitutes a strategic defensive belt between the central and west of Sudan, and that control of it is a key to controlling the military supply lines between Khartoum, Darfur and the main port of Port Sudan."
The martyr pointed out that "the Kordofan region contains airports that can be used in military transport and logistical support for any parties to the conflict, and that the region is close to the oil and gold zones, which makes it a major target for any party that wants to control resources to finance the war."
On the other hand, Imran Abdullah, Advisor to the Commander of the Rapid Support Forces, confirms the importance of the strategic Kordofan region, as "a major axis in the conflict in Sudan, as it links it between the east, west, north and south of the country."
In an interview with the BBC, Imran summarized the military importance of the Kordofan region as "an important corridor of the military forces and supplies, as it links Darfur and the center of the country, including Khartoum."
Imran referred to the city of Babnosa in the West Kordofan State, which contains a major train station linking West Sudan to east and north to its south.
On the political importance of Kordofan, the advisor of the Rapid Support Commander said that "the region is a symbol of power and political influence in Sudan, and that control of it can enhance the position of our forces in the conflict."
On the economic features, the Kordofan region contains important resources such as agriculture, especially the Al -Jazeera project, as well as livestock, according to Amran Abdullah.
"Those who bet on the division of Sudan are the ones who bet on the mirage."
Asked about the division, Imran denied in his speech to the BBC that there is any intention for the Rapid Support Forces in the division of Sudan, stressing that these are "allegations and lies by the 'Islamic movement" that ignited the war and tries to distort the image of rapid support and distracting attention from failure to resolve the battle militarily, "as he put it.
For his part, Brigadier Jamal Al -Shahid saw that the idea of division was more than once and failed, saying that "those who bet on the division of Sudan are those who bet on the mirage."
In his speech to the BBC, the martyr explained: "The ruling of his ethnic and demographic complications is very difficult for Sudan to be divided, especially since rapid support does not express all components of the tribal people of Darfur that stand against the division project."
"In addition to the history of the Darfur region is full of warfare between Arab and African tribes, which makes it difficult for the division process and makes it very complex; and even if a state will witness an internal warfare, what will be cast a shadow over the neighboring countries and the region more broadly," according to the martyr.
Yasser Zaidan, a researcher in the affairs of the Horn of Africa at the University of Washington, agrees with this last opinion, saying that "the Kordofan and Darfur regions will not deliver us to rapid support, because they include local non -Arab ingredients that exist and are still defending and fighting in Kordofan and Fasher."
Also, the massacres committed and still committed by rapid support against these local and original societies will make it difficult for this authority to be established by rapid support in those areas, "according to Zidan.
In an interview with the BBC, a researcher at the University of Washington referred to "the failure of rapid support in previous experiences in providing a judgment model in its areas of control such as Al -Jazeera, Sennar and Khartoum before its liberation by the Sudanese army."
The researcher Zaidan noted that "rapid support does not aspire in a small country of Darfur and Kordofan, but his project for all Sudan, according to what was repeated."
"The threat of Sudanese territory"
Last Wednesday, the United Nations Security Council rejected a plan that the Rapid Support Forces were submitted to inaugurate a competitive government in its controlled areas.
In a strongly worded statement, the Security Council warned of such a step to "threaten the unity of Sudanese lands", as well as fuel the conflict on the ground.
It is noteworthy that Sudan and South Sudan were one country until 2011, when the latter declared independence after decades of conflict with the north, and before this separation, Sudan was the largest African country in terms of area.
The Darfur region, west of Sudan, witnessed the process of "genocide" in 2003, according to the United Nations estimates, about 300 thousand people, the majority of whom are African origin, belonging to the tribes of Zaghawa, Al -Masalait and Fur, in the hands of Sudanese regular forces and loyal Arab factions that were called the Janjaweed (rapid support currently).
Returning to Kordofan, the inhabitants of the region, which is famous for the wheat and sowing farms, faces starvation, after violence between the two parties fighting the main crops destroyed, according to the statements of many officials in the region.
The United Nations accuses the two parties to the conflict in Sudan using hunger as a weapon, and according to the United Nations estimates, about 637 thousand Sudanese are now living in famine, and about eight million people need urgent food aid.
American statistics indicate that more than 150,000 people were killed in this war, which has been displaced over more than 28 months, about 14 million people- making it the worst humanitarian crisis in the world.
.jpeg)
ليست هناك تعليقات:
إرسال تعليق